Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Oakland (15-32) | 3 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
UIC (27-18) | 4 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Oakland (15-32) | 1 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
UIC (27-18) | 8 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Milwaukee (24-28) | 5 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
Wright State (39-17) | 6 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -6.0 | 81% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Milwaukee (24-28) | 2 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
Wright State (39-17) | 10 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -6.0 | 81% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 100%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 100%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.